Tight U.S. beef production, slashed to 25.55 billion pounds for 2026 in the May WASDE report amid ongoing herd liquidation and 2% year-over-year slaughter declines, drives ground beef retail prices to $6.90 per pound in April BLS data—up nearly 19% from 2025 and testing the $7 threshold after dipping to $6.70 in March. Elevated fed steer prices at $242 per cwt and lean cow values signal sustained grind support, with USDA forecasting 5.5% beef inflation. Polymarket trader consensus prices 78% implied probability for $7+, 48% for $8+, reflecting supply constraints versus resilient demand. Watch June BLS CPI and WASDE for placement trends and output revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,649 Vol.
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
53%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
17%
$18,649 Vol.
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
53%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
17%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. beef production, slashed to 25.55 billion pounds for 2026 in the May WASDE report amid ongoing herd liquidation and 2% year-over-year slaughter declines, drives ground beef retail prices to $6.90 per pound in April BLS data—up nearly 19% from 2025 and testing the $7 threshold after dipping to $6.70 in March. Elevated fed steer prices at $242 per cwt and lean cow values signal sustained grind support, with USDA forecasting 5.5% beef inflation. Polymarket trader consensus prices 78% implied probability for $7+, 48% for $8+, reflecting supply constraints versus resilient demand. Watch June BLS CPI and WASDE for placement trends and output revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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