Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes and shelter costs has elevated trader expectations for the May 2026 annual inflation print, with nowcasts pointing to readings near 4.2%. The closely matched 43.5% and 41.5% implied probabilities for 4.2% versus 4.3% reflect uncertainty over monthly energy and goods components amid ongoing pass-through effects. Broader labor market stability and prior core measures around 2.8% limit downside risks, while the June 10 release will resolve the outcome based on fresh Bureau of Labor Statistics figures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4.2% 44%
4.3% 42%
≥4,4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$347,899 Vol.
$347,899 Vol.
10 giu 2026
≤3,3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
44%
4.3%
42%
≥4,4%
11%
4.2% 44%
4.3% 42%
≥4,4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$347,899 Vol.
$347,899 Vol.
10 giu 2026
≤3,3%
$19,516 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$17,416 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$24,784 Vol.
<1%
3.6%
$21,699 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$22,790 Vol.
<1%
3.8%
$22,753 Vol.
<1%
3.9%
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$23,717 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$27,988 Vol.
6%
4.2%
$44,292 Vol.
44%
4.3%
$55,772 Vol.
42%
≥4,4%
$37,972 Vol.
11%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes and shelter costs has elevated trader expectations for the May 2026 annual inflation print, with nowcasts pointing to readings near 4.2%. The closely matched 43.5% and 41.5% implied probabilities for 4.2% versus 4.3% reflect uncertainty over monthly energy and goods components amid ongoing pass-through effects. Broader labor market stability and prior core measures around 2.8% limit downside risks, while the June 10 release will resolve the outcome based on fresh Bureau of Labor Statistics figures.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$347,899Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes and shelter costs has elevated trader expectations for the May 2026 annual inflation print, with nowcasts pointing to readings near 4.2%. The closely matched 43.5% and 41.5% implied probabilities for 4.2% versus 4.3% reflect uncertainty over monthly energy and goods components amid ongoing pass-through effects. Broader labor market stability and prior core measures around 2.8% limit downside risks, while the June 10 release will resolve the outcome based on fresh Bureau of Labor Statistics figures.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$347,899Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes and shelter costs has elevated trader expectations for the May 2026 annual inflation print, with nowcasts pointing to readings near 4.2%. The closely matched 43.5% and 41.5% implied probabilities for 4.2% versus 4.3% reflect uncertainty over monthly energy and goods components amid ongoing pass-through effects. Broader labor market stability and prior core measures around 2.8% limit downside risks, while the June 10 release will resolve the outcome based on fresh Bureau of Labor Statistics figures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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