Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the 25–35% range, with the 30.0–34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability closely trailed by 25–29.9% at 21.5%, reflecting uncertainty over the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-on-month—the highest of the year—pushing first-quarter accumulation to 9.4% and lifting central bank survey forecasts to 29.1%, per the latest REM, amid transportation and seasonal pressures; Reuters median holds at 30.0%. Key swing factors include April CPI (due soon), where a promised sharp drop could favor lower bins, versus persistent upticks from global oil shocks risking higher outcomes, against a 2025 year-end base of 31.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArgentina Inflazione annuale 2026
Argentina Inflazione annuale 2026
25-29.9% 20%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
35–39.9% 16.7%
40-44.9% 12.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 gen 2027
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
14%
25-29.9%
23%
30.0-34.9%
25%
35–39.9%
17%
40-44.9%
13%
45%+
7%
25-29.9% 20%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
35–39.9% 16.7%
40-44.9% 12.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 gen 2027
<20%
$2,405 Vol.
8%
20-24.9%
$1,331 Vol.
14%
25-29.9%
$1,346 Vol.
23%
30.0-34.9%
$809 Vol.
25%
35–39.9%
$780 Vol.
17%
40-44.9%
$884 Vol.
13%
45%+
$985 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the 25–35% range, with the 30.0–34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability closely trailed by 25–29.9% at 21.5%, reflecting uncertainty over the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-on-month—the highest of the year—pushing first-quarter accumulation to 9.4% and lifting central bank survey forecasts to 29.1%, per the latest REM, amid transportation and seasonal pressures; Reuters median holds at 30.0%. Key swing factors include April CPI (due soon), where a promised sharp drop could favor lower bins, versus persistent upticks from global oil shocks risking higher outcomes, against a 2025 year-end base of 31.5%.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$8,540Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the 25–35% range, with the 30.0–34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability closely trailed by 25–29.9% at 21.5%, reflecting uncertainty over the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-on-month—the highest of the year—pushing first-quarter accumulation to 9.4% and lifting central bank survey forecasts to 29.1%, per the latest REM, amid transportation and seasonal pressures; Reuters median holds at 30.0%. Key swing factors include April CPI (due soon), where a promised sharp drop could favor lower bins, versus persistent upticks from global oil shocks risking higher outcomes, against a 2025 year-end base of 31.5%.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,540Data di fine
10 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the 25–35% range, with the 30.0–34.9% bin leading at 24.6% implied probability closely trailed by 25–29.9% at 21.5%, reflecting uncertainty over the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-on-month—the highest of the year—pushing first-quarter accumulation to 9.4% and lifting central bank survey forecasts to 29.1%, per the latest REM, amid transportation and seasonal pressures; Reuters median holds at 30.0%. Key swing factors include April CPI (due soon), where a promised sharp drop could favor lower bins, versus persistent upticks from global oil shocks risking higher outcomes, against a 2025 year-end base of 31.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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