Missouri’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s consistent double-digit general election margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Republican Jason Smith, first elected in 2013, faces only minor primary opposition on August 4 and limited Democratic challengers in the November 3 general, factors that underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though the district’s electoral math and historical patterns create significant structural barriers to a Democratic victory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
MO-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$30,479 Vol.
$30,479 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
6%
$30,479 Vol.
$30,479 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$20,263 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$10,215 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s consistent double-digit general election margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Republican Jason Smith, first elected in 2013, faces only minor primary opposition on August 4 and limited Democratic challengers in the November 3 general, factors that underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though the district’s electoral math and historical patterns create significant structural barriers to a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$30,479Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s consistent double-digit general election margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Republican Jason Smith, first elected in 2013, faces only minor primary opposition on August 4 and limited Democratic challengers in the November 3 general, factors that underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though the district’s electoral math and historical patterns create significant structural barriers to a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,479Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and the incumbent’s consistent double-digit general election margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Republican Jason Smith, first elected in 2013, faces only minor primary opposition on August 4 and limited Democratic challengers in the November 3 general, factors that underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the margin, though the district’s electoral math and historical patterns create significant structural barriers to a Democratic victory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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