Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over his refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, passing an initial motion 60-51 and holding hearings in January 2026 that Lai skipped. However, securing the two-thirds majority (76 votes) required for formal impeachment remains impossible without DPP defections or independents switching sides, explaining traders' 97.1% consensus on "No" by June 30. The pivotal May 19 vote looms, but absent major scandals, Constitutional Court review, or public recall would still be needed even if passed—a remote prospect given entrenched partisan lines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLai Ching-te messa sotto accusa entro il 30 giugno?
Lai Ching-te messa sotto accusa entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$14,318 Vol.
$14,318 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$14,318 Vol.
$14,318 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over his refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, passing an initial motion 60-51 and holding hearings in January 2026 that Lai skipped. However, securing the two-thirds majority (76 votes) required for formal impeachment remains impossible without DPP defections or independents switching sides, explaining traders' 97.1% consensus on "No" by June 30. The pivotal May 19 vote looms, but absent major scandals, Constitutional Court review, or public recall would still be needed even if passed—a remote prospect given entrenched partisan lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$14,318Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over his refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, passing an initial motion 60-51 and holding hearings in January 2026 that Lai skipped. However, securing the two-thirds majority (76 votes) required for formal impeachment remains impossible without DPP defections or independents switching sides, explaining traders' 97.1% consensus on "No" by June 30. The pivotal May 19 vote looms, but absent major scandals, Constitutional Court review, or public recall would still be needed even if passed—a remote prospect given entrenched partisan lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$14,318Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over his refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, passing an initial motion 60-51 and holding hearings in January 2026 that Lai skipped. However, securing the two-thirds majority (76 votes) required for formal impeachment remains impossible without DPP defections or independents switching sides, explaining traders' 97.1% consensus on "No" by June 30. The pivotal May 19 vote looms, but absent major scandals, Constitutional Court review, or public recall would still be needed even if passed—a remote prospect given entrenched partisan lines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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