Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64% implied probability for "No" on Ye—formerly Kanye West—being formally refused entry into another country post-market creation on April 7, 2026, through June 30, reflecting no verified government bans since the UK Home Office denied his Electronic Travel Authorization that day over antisemitic remarks, which canceled Wireless Festival. Australia's 2025 visa revocation set precedent, but recent European fallout—France postponing a Marseille concert amid ban considerations, Poland canceling a show after entry threats, and Switzerland nixing a gig via organizers—hasn't yielded additional formal refusals, tempering odds amid Ye's scaled-back tour amid backlash. Upcoming tour announcements or entry attempts could shift sentiment in this volatile celebrity travel market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFor the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64% implied probability for "No" on Ye—formerly Kanye West—being formally refused entry into another country post-market creation on April 7, 2026, through June 30, reflecting no verified government bans since the UK Home Office denied his Electronic Travel Authorization that day over antisemitic remarks, which canceled Wireless Festival. Australia's 2025 visa revocation set precedent, but recent European fallout—France postponing a Marseille concert amid ban considerations, Poland canceling a show after entry threats, and Switzerland nixing a gig via organizers—hasn't yielded additional formal refusals, tempering odds amid Ye's scaled-back tour amid backlash. Upcoming tour announcements or entry attempts could shift sentiment in this volatile celebrity travel market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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