SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a June listing, with market-implied odds at 74.5% reflecting reports of a targeted mid-2026 timeline at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation—potentially the largest IPO in history. This surge follows January Financial Times disclosures of mid-June ambitions and aligns with standard 60–90 day regulatory review periods for high-profile offerings. July at 10.5% accounts for possible SEC feedback delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.8% incorporates execution risks amid Starship test flight preparations. Traders eye upcoming public prospectus release and roadshow scheduling as key catalysts shaping final pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGiugno 75%
Luglio 10.7%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 6.8%
Agosto 4.5%
$287,047 Vol.
$287,047 Vol.
Aprile
<1%
Maggio
1%
Giugno
75%
Luglio
11%
Agosto
4%
Settembre
3%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
<1%
Dicembre
1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
7%
Giugno 75%
Luglio 10.7%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 6.8%
Agosto 4.5%
$287,047 Vol.
$287,047 Vol.
Aprile
<1%
Maggio
1%
Giugno
75%
Luglio
11%
Agosto
4%
Settembre
3%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
<1%
Dicembre
1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
7%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a June listing, with market-implied odds at 74.5% reflecting reports of a targeted mid-2026 timeline at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation—potentially the largest IPO in history. This surge follows January Financial Times disclosures of mid-June ambitions and aligns with standard 60–90 day regulatory review periods for high-profile offerings. July at 10.5% accounts for possible SEC feedback delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.8% incorporates execution risks amid Starship test flight preparations. Traders eye upcoming public prospectus release and roadshow scheduling as key catalysts shaping final pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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