Traders' overwhelming 94% implied probability for a Nasdaq listing reflects SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month and reports of its negotiations for accelerated entry into the Nasdaq-100 index, with the exchange revising rules to enable mega-IPOs like this $1.75 trillion rocket and satellite leader to join after just 15 trading days. This aligns SpaceX's Starlink constellation expansion and frequent Falcon 9 launches with Nasdaq's tech ecosystem, mirroring Tesla's path. A realistic challenge would involve NYSE outbidding via superior liquidity incentives or regulatory hurdles delaying Nasdaq approval; expect clarity from SEC disclosures ahead of a potential June debut.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSu quale exchange apparirà SpaceX?
Su quale exchange apparirà SpaceX?
NASDAQ 94%
Altro 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 Vol.
$92,311 Vol.
NASDAQ
94%
Altro
5%
NYSE
<1%
NASDAQ 94%
Altro 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 Vol.
$92,311 Vol.
NASDAQ
$17,897 Vol.
94%
Altro
$57,172 Vol.
5%
NYSE
$17,242 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 94% implied probability for a Nasdaq listing reflects SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month and reports of its negotiations for accelerated entry into the Nasdaq-100 index, with the exchange revising rules to enable mega-IPOs like this $1.75 trillion rocket and satellite leader to join after just 15 trading days. This aligns SpaceX's Starlink constellation expansion and frequent Falcon 9 launches with Nasdaq's tech ecosystem, mirroring Tesla's path. A realistic challenge would involve NYSE outbidding via superior liquidity incentives or regulatory hurdles delaying Nasdaq approval; expect clarity from SEC disclosures ahead of a potential June debut.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$92,311Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 94% implied probability for a Nasdaq listing reflects SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month and reports of its negotiations for accelerated entry into the Nasdaq-100 index, with the exchange revising rules to enable mega-IPOs like this $1.75 trillion rocket and satellite leader to join after just 15 trading days. This aligns SpaceX's Starlink constellation expansion and frequent Falcon 9 launches with Nasdaq's tech ecosystem, mirroring Tesla's path. A realistic challenge would involve NYSE outbidding via superior liquidity incentives or regulatory hurdles delaying Nasdaq approval; expect clarity from SEC disclosures ahead of a potential June debut.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$92,311Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' overwhelming 94% implied probability for a Nasdaq listing reflects SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month and reports of its negotiations for accelerated entry into the Nasdaq-100 index, with the exchange revising rules to enable mega-IPOs like this $1.75 trillion rocket and satellite leader to join after just 15 trading days. This aligns SpaceX's Starlink constellation expansion and frequent Falcon 9 launches with Nasdaq's tech ecosystem, mirroring Tesla's path. A realistic challenge would involve NYSE outbidding via superior liquidity incentives or regulatory hurdles delaying Nasdaq approval; expect clarity from SEC disclosures ahead of a potential June debut.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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