Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 42% for the anticipated May 14-15 bilateral summit in Beijing between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, reflecting historical precedent from their October 2025 Busan meeting where they gripped hands for 27 seconds amid positive optics. Recent diplomatic signals, including Trump's letter last week urging Xi to withhold weapons from Iran—met with Beijing's denial—and his public affirmations of a "good relationship" with China economically, have elevated expectations for rapport-building gestures, diminishing no-handshake odds to 5.2%. Ongoing positioning over trade, Taiwan, and Middle East tensions underscores the summit's stakes, though outcomes remain uncertain pending the in-person encounter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato15s+ 42%
10–15s 32%
6–10s 12%
2–6s 10%
$69,494 Vol.
$69,494 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessuna stretta di mano
5%
<2s
2%
2–6s
10%
6–10s
12%
10–15s
25%
15s+
42%
Solo fotografati
2%
15s+ 42%
10–15s 32%
6–10s 12%
2–6s 10%
$69,494 Vol.
$69,494 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessuna stretta di mano
$11,680 Vol.
5%
<2s
$14,016 Vol.
2%
2–6s
$11,357 Vol.
10%
6–10s
$4,483 Vol.
12%
10–15s
$4,272 Vol.
25%
15s+
$10,905 Vol.
42%
Solo fotografati
$12,780 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 42% for the anticipated May 14-15 bilateral summit in Beijing between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, reflecting historical precedent from their October 2025 Busan meeting where they gripped hands for 27 seconds amid positive optics. Recent diplomatic signals, including Trump's letter last week urging Xi to withhold weapons from Iran—met with Beijing's denial—and his public affirmations of a "good relationship" with China economically, have elevated expectations for rapport-building gestures, diminishing no-handshake odds to 5.2%. Ongoing positioning over trade, Taiwan, and Middle East tensions underscores the summit's stakes, though outcomes remain uncertain pending the in-person encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Mercato aperto: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volume
$69,494Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 42% for the anticipated May 14-15 bilateral summit in Beijing between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, reflecting historical precedent from their October 2025 Busan meeting where they gripped hands for 27 seconds amid positive optics. Recent diplomatic signals, including Trump's letter last week urging Xi to withhold weapons from Iran—met with Beijing's denial—and his public affirmations of a "good relationship" with China economically, have elevated expectations for rapport-building gestures, diminishing no-handshake odds to 5.2%. Ongoing positioning over trade, Taiwan, and Middle East tensions underscores the summit's stakes, though outcomes remain uncertain pending the in-person encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volume
$69,494Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 42% for the anticipated May 14-15 bilateral summit in Beijing between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, reflecting historical precedent from their October 2025 Busan meeting where they gripped hands for 27 seconds amid positive optics. Recent diplomatic signals, including Trump's letter last week urging Xi to withhold weapons from Iran—met with Beijing's denial—and his public affirmations of a "good relationship" with China economically, have elevated expectations for rapport-building gestures, diminishing no-handshake odds to 5.2%. Ongoing positioning over trade, Taiwan, and Middle East tensions underscores the summit's stakes, though outcomes remain uncertain pending the in-person encounter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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