With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders see a strong chance for below-average totals under 130mm (27.5%), well shy of the historical April norm around 150-175mm. However, the race stays tight against 150-160mm (22.5%) and 140-150mm (17.9%) due to the month's transitional weather patterns, where showers often intensify late, bolstered by the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook for April-June. Continued dry spells through April 30 could solidify lower bins, while approaching troughs or isolated heavy rain events in the final two weeks might push totals higher, creating separation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrecipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?
Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?
<130mm 29%
190mm+ 26%
140-150mm 22.4%
150-160 mm 16%
$31,497 Vol.
$31,497 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<130mm
37%
130-140 mm
16%
140-150mm
13%
150-160 mm
23%
160-170 mm
7%
190-200 mm
10%
180-190
11%
190mm+
19%
<130mm 29%
190mm+ 26%
140-150mm 22.4%
150-160 mm 16%
$31,497 Vol.
$31,497 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<130mm
$14,383 Vol.
37%
130-140 mm
$5,384 Vol.
16%
140-150mm
$5,966 Vol.
13%
150-160 mm
$3,445 Vol.
23%
160-170 mm
$427 Vol.
7%
190-200 mm
$375 Vol.
10%
180-190
$441 Vol.
11%
190mm+
$1,076 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders see a strong chance for below-average totals under 130mm (27.5%), well shy of the historical April norm around 150-175mm. However, the race stays tight against 150-160mm (22.5%) and 140-150mm (17.9%) due to the month's transitional weather patterns, where showers often intensify late, bolstered by the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook for April-June. Continued dry spells through April 30 could solidify lower bins, while approaching troughs or isolated heavy rain events in the final two weeks might push totals higher, creating separation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$31,497Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders see a strong chance for below-average totals under 130mm (27.5%), well shy of the historical April norm around 150-175mm. However, the race stays tight against 150-160mm (22.5%) and 140-150mm (17.9%) due to the month's transitional weather patterns, where showers often intensify late, bolstered by the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook for April-June. Continued dry spells through April 30 could solidify lower bins, while approaching troughs or isolated heavy rain events in the final two weeks might push totals higher, creating separation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,497Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 16—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders see a strong chance for below-average totals under 130mm (27.5%), well shy of the historical April norm around 150-175mm. However, the race stays tight against 150-160mm (22.5%) and 140-150mm (17.9%) due to the month's transitional weather patterns, where showers often intensify late, bolstered by the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook for April-June. Continued dry spells through April 30 could solidify lower bins, while approaching troughs or isolated heavy rain events in the final two weeks might push totals higher, creating separation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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