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Tecnologia·Parlay

Elon Bull Run Parlay

icon for Elon Bull Run Parlay
Tecnologia·Parlay

Elon Bull Run Parlay

5% probabilità
Polymarket

$10,235 Vol.

5% probabilità
Polymarket

$10,235 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$10,235
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$10,235
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elon Bull Run Parlay" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 5% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 5¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 5% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elon Bull Run Parlay" ha generato $10.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 6, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elon Bull Run Parlay", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Elon Bull Run Parlay" è 5% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 5% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elon Bull Run Parlay" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.