California’s 4th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, under the state’s nonpartisan jungle primary rules that advance the two highest vote-getters regardless of party. Longtime incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and a moderate Blue Dog member, faces a primary challenge from fellow Democrat Eric Jones, a self-funded venture capitalist and nonprofit executive who has spent heavily on the race. The district, redrawn after Proposition 50, now encompasses Napa and Sonoma wine country plus more rural, conservative areas in Yolo, Yuba, and surrounding counties. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and others with limited reported spending, are expected to split that vote. Thompson and Jones have each raised and spent millions, positioning them as the clear frontrunners for the two advancement spots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$32,507 Vol.
Mike Thompson
95%
Eric Jones
91%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
Heath Fulkerson
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
1%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$32,507 Vol.
Mike Thompson
95%
Eric Jones
91%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
Heath Fulkerson
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
1%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California’s 4th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, under the state’s nonpartisan jungle primary rules that advance the two highest vote-getters regardless of party. Longtime incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998 and a moderate Blue Dog member, faces a primary challenge from fellow Democrat Eric Jones, a self-funded venture capitalist and nonprofit executive who has spent heavily on the race. The district, redrawn after Proposition 50, now encompasses Napa and Sonoma wine country plus more rural, conservative areas in Yolo, Yuba, and surrounding counties. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and others with limited reported spending, are expected to split that vote. Thompson and Jones have each raised and spent millions, positioning them as the clear frontrunners for the two advancement spots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti