johnthek

Iscritto dic 2024·13 visualizzazioni

$3,216.76

Valore posizioni

-$1,642.74

Profitto/Perdita

446K

Volume

$2,050.01

Vincita più grande

5,004

Previsioni

Profitto/Perdita

-$21.95

Ultimo giorno

Mercato

Media

Attuale

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No 94¢

1,000.0 azioni

94¢

96.6¢

$965.50$25.50 (2.71%)

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No 94¢

1,000.0 azioni

$965.50$25.50 (2.71%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 92¢

1,000.0 azioni

92¢

95.8¢

$957.50$37.50 (4.08%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 92¢

1,000.0 azioni

$957.50$37.50 (4.08%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?

No 56.5¢

251.1 azioni

56.5¢

73.4¢

$184.30$42.36 (29.84%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?

No 56.5¢

251.1 azioni

$184.30$42.36 (29.84%)

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 82¢

186.6 azioni

82¢

94.5¢

$176.37$23.33 (15.24%)

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 82¢

186.6 azioni

$176.37$23.33 (15.24%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.9¢

187.0 azioni

52.9¢

58.5¢

$109.41$10.53 (10.65%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52.9¢

187.0 azioni

$109.41$10.53 (10.65%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?

Yes 51.7¢

105.2 azioni

51.7¢

50.5¢

$53.11-$1.23 (-2.26%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?

Yes 51.7¢

105.2 azioni

$53.11-$1.23 (-2.26%)

Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

No 90.2¢

52.7 azioni

90.2¢

94.9¢

$50.02$2.48 (5.21%)

Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

No 90.2¢

52.7 azioni

$50.02$2.48 (5.21%)

Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

No 54.7¢

51.3 azioni

54.7¢

86¢

$44.12$16.05 (57.18%)

Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

No 54.7¢

51.3 azioni

$44.12$16.05 (57.18%)

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Yes 26.3¢

193.2 azioni

26.3¢

22.5¢

$43.47-$7.42 (-14.58%)

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Yes 26.3¢

193.2 azioni

$43.47-$7.42 (-14.58%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 19¢

219.2 azioni

19¢

16¢

$35.07-$6.57 (-15.79%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 19¢

219.2 azioni

$35.07-$6.57 (-15.79%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

Yes 16.7¢

184.6 azioni

16.7¢

16¢

$29.53-$1.23 (-4%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

Yes 16.7¢

184.6 azioni

$29.53-$1.23 (-4%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

Yes 54.6¢

52.5 azioni

54.6¢

56¢

$29.38$0.73 (2.55%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

Yes 54.6¢

52.5 azioni

$29.38$0.73 (2.55%)

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 19.6¢

376.3 azioni

19.6¢

7.8¢

$29.16-$44.66 (-60.5%)

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 19.6¢

376.3 azioni

$29.16-$44.66 (-60.5%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 63.9¢

40.9 azioni

63.9¢

71¢

$29.03$2.92 (11.18%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 63.9¢

40.9 azioni

$29.03$2.92 (11.18%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

No 51¢

44.9 azioni

51¢

63.5¢

$28.51$5.61 (24.51%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

No 51¢

44.9 azioni

$28.51$5.61 (24.51%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 74.6¢

34.5 azioni

74.6¢

82.5¢

$28.46$2.73 (10.62%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Yes 74.6¢

34.5 azioni

$28.46$2.73 (10.62%)

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Yes 47¢

46.3 azioni

47¢

58¢

$26.86$5.09 (23.4%)

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Yes 47¢

46.3 azioni

$26.86$5.09 (23.4%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Yes 29¢

24.6 azioni

29¢

77.5¢

$19.07$11.94 (167.24%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Yes 29¢

24.6 azioni

$19.07$11.94 (167.24%)

Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 82.9¢

19.4 azioni

82.9¢

92.4¢

$17.88$1.83 (11.4%)

Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 82.9¢

19.4 azioni

$17.88$1.83 (11.4%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 52¢

42.3 azioni

52¢

41.5¢

$17.56-$4.46 (-20.24%)

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Yes 52¢

42.3 azioni

$17.56-$4.46 (-20.24%)