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Persetujuan prediksi & peluang

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Trump approval rating on May 1?

Trump approval rating on May 1?

52%

39.0–39.4

$17.5K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

4%

38.0%

$33.3K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

1

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

34%

35%

$67.6K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

56%

Up

$1.6K Vol.

$25 Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

91%

Up

$2.3K Vol.

$489 Liq.

4

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

50%

Up

$106 Vol.

$1 Liq.

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

50%

↑ 49%

$4.5K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

50%

38.5%

$62 Vol.

$111 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

68%

Civilian Service Act

$32.0K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

4%

$39.9K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?

Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?

31%

$7.1K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

29%

$3.2K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

1%

$22.4K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

25%

$562K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

98%

April 30

$28.4K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

27%

South Korea

$260K Vol.

$143K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

8%

$338 Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

87%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$406 Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

3%

$7.9K Vol.

$362 Liq.

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

44%

$4.3K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapat keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu dengan trading pada hal-hal terkait berita terkini, politik, olahraga, pemilu, crypto, keuangan, teknologi, budaya, termasuk topik seperti Persetujuan.

Polymarket saat ini memiliki 144 market aktif untuk Persetujuan yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "Trump approval rating on May 1?". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $1.1M volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "FDA approves Retatrutide this year?," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 75% untuk No. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Persetujuan yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.