OpenAI's completion of a landmark $122 billion funding round in late March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation has solidified trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027, with "No" implying 89.8% probability as the company asserts fierce independence amid aggressive growth. Recent moves, including acquisitions of developer tools firm Astral, AI security platform Promptfoo, personal finance startup Hiro, and media outlet TBPN, position OpenAI as an acquirer rather than a target, while rejecting Elon Musk's $97.4 billion bid underscores resistance to buyouts. Evolving Microsoft ties—marked by OpenAI's April criticisms of partnership constraints and new Amazon alliances—signal diversification without takeover signals, with potential Q4 IPO plans further entrenching public market autonomy despite high cash burn projections.
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's completion of a landmark $122 billion funding round in late March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation has solidified trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027, with "No" implying 89.8% probability as the company asserts fierce independence amid aggressive growth. Recent moves, including acquisitions of developer tools firm Astral, AI security platform Promptfoo, personal finance startup Hiro, and media outlet TBPN, position OpenAI as an acquirer rather than a target, while rejecting Elon Musk's $97.4 billion bid underscores resistance to buyouts. Evolving Microsoft ties—marked by OpenAI's April criticisms of partnership constraints and new Amazon alliances—signal diversification without takeover signals, with potential Q4 IPO plans further entrenching public market autonomy despite high cash burn projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$3,207Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's completion of a landmark $122 billion funding round in late March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation has solidified trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027, with "No" implying 89.8% probability as the company asserts fierce independence amid aggressive growth. Recent moves, including acquisitions of developer tools firm Astral, AI security platform Promptfoo, personal finance startup Hiro, and media outlet TBPN, position OpenAI as an acquirer rather than a target, while rejecting Elon Musk's $97.4 billion bid underscores resistance to buyouts. Evolving Microsoft ties—marked by OpenAI's April criticisms of partnership constraints and new Amazon alliances—signal diversification without takeover signals, with potential Q4 IPO plans further entrenching public market autonomy despite high cash burn projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,207Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's completion of a landmark $122 billion funding round in late March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation has solidified trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027, with "No" implying 89.8% probability as the company asserts fierce independence amid aggressive growth. Recent moves, including acquisitions of developer tools firm Astral, AI security platform Promptfoo, personal finance startup Hiro, and media outlet TBPN, position OpenAI as an acquirer rather than a target, while rejecting Elon Musk's $97.4 billion bid underscores resistance to buyouts. Evolving Microsoft ties—marked by OpenAI's April criticisms of partnership constraints and new Amazon alliances—signal diversification without takeover signals, with potential Q4 IPO plans further entrenching public market autonomy despite high cash burn projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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