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Geopolitik·Trump

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Geopolitik·Trump

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$389,236 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$389,236 Vol.

Polymarket

Mexico

$2,819 Vol.

16%

Israel

$572 Vol.

16%

India

$70,506 Vol.

15%

Indonesia

$19,598 Vol.

15%

Vietnam

$6,741 Vol.

14%

United Kingdom

$586 Vol.

13%

Taiwan

$33,924 Vol.

12%

South Korea

$59,668 Vol.

12%

Canada

$21,698 Vol.

12%

South Africa

$553 Vol.

11%

Argentina

$22,653 Vol.

11%

Australia

$6,287 Vol.

10%

Russia

$2,262 Vol.

9%

Brazil

$4,713 Vol.

8%

Japan

$17,763 Vol.

7%

Pakistan

$105,546 Vol.

7%

European Union

$13,349 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) program has driven multiple signed deals since 2025, including with Malaysia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Ecuador, Jordan (July 2026), Argentina, Guatemala, El Salvador, and Taiwan, plus frameworks or arrangements with the UK, Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, and China. These pacts typically feature reciprocal tariff adjustments, market access for U.S. agricultural and industrial goods, and commitments on supply chains, forced labor, and investment. Ongoing negotiations with India advanced in August 2026 with directives to fast-track a commercially meaningful agreement, while EU and additional Southeast Asian talks continue amid Section 301 investigations and USMCA review processes. These bilateral efforts and enforcement actions form the main catalysts for trader assessments of outcomes before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$389,236
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) program has driven multiple signed deals since 2025, including with Malaysia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Ecuador, Jordan (July 2026), Argentina, Guatemala, El Salvador, and Taiwan, plus frameworks or arrangements with the UK, Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, and China. These pacts typically feature reciprocal tariff adjustments, market access for U.S. agricultural and industrial goods, and commitments on supply chains, forced labor, and investment. Ongoing negotiations with India advanced in August 2026 with directives to fast-track a commercially meaningful agreement, while EU and additional Southeast Asian talks continue amid Section 301 investigations and USMCA review processes. These bilateral efforts and enforcement actions form the main catalysts for trader assessments of outcomes before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$389,236
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mexico" di 16%, diikuti oleh "Israel" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 16¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 16% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $389.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah "Mexico" di 16%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 16% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Israel" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.