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When will the DHS shutdown end?

icon for When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

After March 31 100.0%

Before February 16 <1%

February 16-19 <1%

February 20-23 <1%

Polymarket

$1,667,440 Vol.

After March 31 100.0%

Before February 16 <1%

February 16-19 <1%

February 20-23 <1%

Polymarket

$1,667,440 Vol.

Before February 16

$13,653 Vol.

No

February 16-19

$26,041 Vol.

No

February 20-23

$65,698 Vol.

No

February 24-27

$70,334 Vol.

No

February 28-March 3

$59,864 Vol.

No

March 4-7

$0 Vol.

No

March 8-11

$0 Vol.

No

March 12-15

$0 Vol.

No

March 16-19

$0 Vol.

No

March 20-23

$0 Vol.

No

March 24-27

$192,078 Vol.

No

March 28-31

$111,354 Vol.

No

After March 31

$1,128,420 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,667,440
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,667,440
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "After March 31" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Before February 16" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "When will the DHS shutdown end?" telah menghasilkan $1.7 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 15, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "When will the DHS shutdown end?," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "When will the DHS shutdown end?" adalah "After March 31" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Before February 16" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "When will the DHS shutdown end?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.