Skip to main content
Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Senat

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Senat

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 30%

John Thune 20%

Brian Schatz 19%

Cory Booker 6.9%

Polymarket

$33,959 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 30%

John Thune 20%

Brian Schatz 19%

Cory Booker 6.9%

Polymarket

$33,959 Vol.

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Chuck Schumer

$3,590 Vol.

30%

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

John Thune

$480 Vol.

20%

Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Brian Schatz

$1,061 Vol.

19%

Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Cory Booker

$644 Vol.

7%

Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

John Barrasso

$355 Vol.

5%

Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Mark Kelly

$629 Vol.

4%

Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Lindsey Graham

$8,492 Vol.

3%

Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Tom Cotton

$192 Vol.

3%

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Steve Daines

$18,016 Vol.

3%

Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Patty Murray

$87 Vol.

3%

Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Amy Klobuchar

$412 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a closely contested path to Senate control after the 2026 midterms, where Republicans defend a slim 53-47 majority amid tightening polls in battleground races like Michigan and Georgia. Chuck Schumer leads at 29.5% as the presumed Democratic leader if his party flips the needed seats, bolstered by recent Democratic fundraising surges and forecast models showing evaporated GOP leads. John Thune trails at 20%, pressured by intra-party criticism over delays on priorities like the SAVE America Act and recent DHS shutdown clashes. Brian Schatz's 19% share stems from his secured whip position and positioning as a Schumer successor. Primaries, retirements, or polling shifts could widen gaps before November.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$33,959
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a closely contested path to Senate control after the 2026 midterms, where Republicans defend a slim 53-47 majority amid tightening polls in battleground races like Michigan and Georgia. Chuck Schumer leads at 29.5% as the presumed Democratic leader if his party flips the needed seats, bolstered by recent Democratic fundraising surges and forecast models showing evaporated GOP leads. John Thune trails at 20%, pressured by intra-party criticism over delays on priorities like the SAVE America Act and recent DHS shutdown clashes. Brian Schatz's 19% share stems from his secured whip position and positioning as a Schumer successor. Primaries, retirements, or polling shifts could widen gaps before November.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$33,959
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Chuck Schumer" di 30%, diikuti oleh "John Thune" di 20%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 30¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Senate Majority Leader?" telah menghasilkan $34K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Senate Majority Leader?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Senate Majority Leader?" adalah "Chuck Schumer" di 30%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "John Thune" di 20%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Senate Majority Leader?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.