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Politik·Primer

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 5.1%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,129 Vol.

Ben McAdams 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 5.1%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,129 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$7,844 Vol.

75%

Nate Blouin

$4,016 Vol.

20%

Liban Mohamed

$657 Vol.

17%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,431 Vol.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,752 Vol.

<1%

Brian King

$1,112 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,095 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,327 Vol.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability in the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his early polling edge (36% in March Data for Progress survey), fundraising dominance, and endorsement from state Sen. Kathleen Riebe, who dropped out in April citing inability to compete financially. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 19.9% reflects momentum from his narrow ranked-choice upset over McAdams at the April 25 state convention, securing delegate support in the new blue-leaning district but falling short of the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. State Sen. Nate Blouin's 19.5% stems from progressive appeal amid undecided voters (25% in polls), though conservative dark money ads target him; no new polls have emerged in the past two weeks to shift dynamics significantly.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,129
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability in the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his early polling edge (36% in March Data for Progress survey), fundraising dominance, and endorsement from state Sen. Kathleen Riebe, who dropped out in April citing inability to compete financially. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 19.9% reflects momentum from his narrow ranked-choice upset over McAdams at the April 25 state convention, securing delegate support in the new blue-leaning district but falling short of the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. State Sen. Nate Blouin's 19.5% stems from progressive appeal amid undecided voters (25% in polls), though conservative dark money ads target him; no new polls have emerged in the past two weeks to shift dynamics significantly.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,129
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ben McAdams" di 75%, diikuti oleh "Nate Blouin" di 20%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 75¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $29.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Ben McAdams" di 75%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Nate Blouin" di 20%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.