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Politik·Primer

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 71%

Nate Blouin 26%

Liban Mohamed 5.6%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$35,775 Vol.

Ben McAdams 71%

Nate Blouin 26%

Liban Mohamed 5.6%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$35,775 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$10,627 Vol.

71%

Nate Blouin

$4,884 Vol.

26%

Liban Mohamed

$1,090 Vol.

6%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,795 Vol.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$6,116 Vol.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$1,063 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,486 Vol.

<1%

Brian King

$1,453 Vol.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,825 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,101 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,333 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ben McAdams holds the lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for Utah’s 1st Congressional District due to his prior service in Congress, strong name recognition, and dominant fundraising position that exceeds his nearest rivals by nearly $1 million. Recent polling and convention results show him ahead of state Sen. Nate Blouin, while other candidates including Liban Mohamed and Michael Farrell further divide support among progressive voters. A May 27 debate highlighted policy differences on data centers and housing, yet Blouin’s call for progressive consolidation was rejected by opponents, preserving the split field. Traders’ implied probabilities reflect these structural and resource advantages for McAdams with the primary just weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,775
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ben McAdams holds the lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for Utah’s 1st Congressional District due to his prior service in Congress, strong name recognition, and dominant fundraising position that exceeds his nearest rivals by nearly $1 million. Recent polling and convention results show him ahead of state Sen. Nate Blouin, while other candidates including Liban Mohamed and Michael Farrell further divide support among progressive voters. A May 27 debate highlighted policy differences on data centers and housing, yet Blouin’s call for progressive consolidation was rejected by opponents, preserving the split field. Traders’ implied probabilities reflect these structural and resource advantages for McAdams with the primary just weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,775
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ben McAdams" di 71%, diikuti oleh "Nate Blouin" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 71¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $35.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Ben McAdams" di 71%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Nate Blouin" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.