Trader consensus on the "Nothing" outcome at 99.8% reflects the absence of any listed resolution triggers during September, including a 50-basis-point or larger Federal Reserve rate cut, Lisa Cook's removal as Fed governor, an attempted firing of Jerome Powell, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement, Israel-Hamas ceasefire, or direct Zelenskyy-Putin meeting. No such policy shifts, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs materialized amid ongoing conflicts and routine economic data releases. This narrow criteria set has held firm through month-end, with traders pricing in the low likelihood of last-minute reversals or disputes over timing. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential post-September clarifications or appeals that could still alter final resolution.