Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by President Trump's continued tenure, stable Bitcoin prices between $10,000 and $1 million, and no escalatory actions like a U.S. invasion of Iran, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian NATO incursion, or Iranian regime collapse despite limited airstrikes and diplomatic tensions. Recent May polls showing Trump's tumbling approval ratings and Democratic enthusiasm in battleground states lower risks of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority following November midterms, while Xi Jinping remains in power and no 9.0+ earthquakes, VEI 6+ eruptions, or major meteor strikes have occurred. Upcoming midterm vote counts and geopolitical developments could shift odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTidak Ada yang Pernah Terjadi: 2026
Tidak Ada yang Pernah Terjadi: 2026
Ya
$556,489 Vol.
$556,489 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ya
$556,489 Vol.
$556,489 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by President Trump's continued tenure, stable Bitcoin prices between $10,000 and $1 million, and no escalatory actions like a U.S. invasion of Iran, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian NATO incursion, or Iranian regime collapse despite limited airstrikes and diplomatic tensions. Recent May polls showing Trump's tumbling approval ratings and Democratic enthusiasm in battleground states lower risks of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority following November midterms, while Xi Jinping remains in power and no 9.0+ earthquakes, VEI 6+ eruptions, or major meteor strikes have occurred. Upcoming midterm vote counts and geopolitical developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$556,489Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by President Trump's continued tenure, stable Bitcoin prices between $10,000 and $1 million, and no escalatory actions like a U.S. invasion of Iran, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian NATO incursion, or Iranian regime collapse despite limited airstrikes and diplomatic tensions. Recent May polls showing Trump's tumbling approval ratings and Democratic enthusiasm in battleground states lower risks of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority following November midterms, while Xi Jinping remains in power and no 9.0+ earthquakes, VEI 6+ eruptions, or major meteor strikes have occurred. Upcoming midterm vote counts and geopolitical developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Volume
$556,489Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by President Trump's continued tenure, stable Bitcoin prices between $10,000 and $1 million, and no escalatory actions like a U.S. invasion of Iran, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian NATO incursion, or Iranian regime collapse despite limited airstrikes and diplomatic tensions. Recent May polls showing Trump's tumbling approval ratings and Democratic enthusiasm in battleground states lower risks of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority following November midterms, while Xi Jinping remains in power and no 9.0+ earthquakes, VEI 6+ eruptions, or major meteor strikes have occurred. Upcoming midterm vote counts and geopolitical developments could shift odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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