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Geopolitik·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: April

icon for Nothing Ever Happens: April
Geopolitik·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ended: Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

May 31

Dec 31

Ended: Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

May 31

Dec 31

Nothing

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$39,918 Vol.

Nothing

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$39,918 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfEscalating US-Iran hostilities dominate trader sentiment in the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market, pricing "Something" at 99.8% implied probability as of April 5, reflecting near-certainty that at least one trigger—such as US forces entering Iran—will occur by April 30. Iranian forces downed a US F-15E and A-10 on April 3-4, the conflict's first aircraft losses since late February airstrikes began, prompting President Trump's threats of imminent strikes on Iranian power plants. WTI crude oil surged past $112 per barrel on supply disruption fears, while the April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms amid inflation pressures from the war. Cuba faces rhetorical escalation but no action yet, and no Epstein-related arrests have materialized. De-escalation via diplomacy remains a slim scenario to avert triggers.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
Volume
$39,918
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf

Hasil diajukan: Something

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Something

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfEscalating US-Iran hostilities dominate trader sentiment in the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market, pricing "Something" at 99.8% implied probability as of April 5, reflecting near-certainty that at least one trigger—such as US forces entering Iran—will occur by April 30. Iranian forces downed a US F-15E and A-10 on April 3-4, the conflict's first aircraft losses since late February airstrikes began, prompting President Trump's threats of imminent strikes on Iranian power plants. WTI crude oil surged past $112 per barrel on supply disruption fears, while the April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms amid inflation pressures from the war. Cuba faces rhetorical escalation but no action yet, and no Epstein-related arrests have materialized. De-escalation via diplomacy remains a slim scenario to avert triggers.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
Volume
$39,918
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf

Hasil diajukan: Something

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Something

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Nothing Ever Happens: April" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nothing Ever Happens: April" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 0¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 0% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Nothing Ever Happens: April" telah menghasilkan $39.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Nothing Ever Happens: April," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Nothing Ever Happens: April" adalah "Nothing Ever Happens: April" di hanya 0%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Nothing Ever Happens: April" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.