Recent Israeli polls from the past week, including surveys by Maariv and Jerusalem Post, consistently project Netanyahu's coalition at 49 Knesset seats against an opposition bloc holding a stable 61-seat majority in a hypothetical election, underscoring trader concerns over his government's fragility in Israel's proportional representation system. The coalition passed its budget on March 31, averting an immediate snap election, but Likud has shed support amid backlash to security policies in Lebanon and lingering Iran tensions. No-confidence motions from opposition parties like National Unity persist as risks, while coalition partners demand concessions on judicial reforms and hostage deals; upcoming Knesset sessions could test unity before year-end.