Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the NDA’s 2024 Lok Sabha victory, runs until the next general election expected by April 2029, creating a structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Official government statements have repeatedly dismissed circulating resignation claims as fabricated, most recently in July 2026 when the Press Information Bureau confirmed no such letter existed. Cabinet adjustments and internal BJP discussions on succession or reshuffles have occurred amid modest polling dips and age-related commentary, yet these have produced no procedural moves or parliamentary pressure that would accelerate an exit. Traders’ 94.3% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of credible near-term catalysts, the prime minister’s continued institutional authority, and the constitutional timeline that keeps the next electoral test more than two years away.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6% peluang
$252,571 Vol.
$252,571 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% peluang
$252,571 Vol.
$252,571 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the NDA’s 2024 Lok Sabha victory, runs until the next general election expected by April 2029, creating a structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Official government statements have repeatedly dismissed circulating resignation claims as fabricated, most recently in July 2026 when the Press Information Bureau confirmed no such letter existed. Cabinet adjustments and internal BJP discussions on succession or reshuffles have occurred amid modest polling dips and age-related commentary, yet these have produced no procedural moves or parliamentary pressure that would accelerate an exit. Traders’ 94.3% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of credible near-term catalysts, the prime minister’s continued institutional authority, and the constitutional timeline that keeps the next electoral test more than two years away.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$252,571Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the NDA’s 2024 Lok Sabha victory, runs until the next general election expected by April 2029, creating a structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Official government statements have repeatedly dismissed circulating resignation claims as fabricated, most recently in July 2026 when the Press Information Bureau confirmed no such letter existed. Cabinet adjustments and internal BJP discussions on succession or reshuffles have occurred amid modest polling dips and age-related commentary, yet these have produced no procedural moves or parliamentary pressure that would accelerate an exit. Traders’ 94.3% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of credible near-term catalysts, the prime minister’s continued institutional authority, and the constitutional timeline that keeps the next electoral test more than two years away.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252,571Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the NDA’s 2024 Lok Sabha victory, runs until the next general election expected by April 2029, creating a structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Official government statements have repeatedly dismissed circulating resignation claims as fabricated, most recently in July 2026 when the Press Information Bureau confirmed no such letter existed. Cabinet adjustments and internal BJP discussions on succession or reshuffles have occurred amid modest polling dips and age-related commentary, yet these have produced no procedural moves or parliamentary pressure that would accelerate an exit. Traders’ 94.3% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of credible near-term catalysts, the prime minister’s continued institutional authority, and the constitutional timeline that keeps the next electoral test more than two years away.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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