Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability for the MN-06 House seat due to the district's R+10 partisan lean and incumbent Tom Emmer's strong track record, including 62.4% victory in 2024. Emmer faces a primary challenge from Michael Foley ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary, but ratings like Cook's Solid Republican underscore limited threat. Democrats have multiple candidates including Anson Amberson and Doug Chapin, yet lack polling traction or recruitment momentum. Recent independent entry by Kelly Doss in late March adds minor uncertainty, but fundamentals sustain GOP dominance barring surprises like a high-profile Democratic contender or primary upset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,459 Vol.
83%
Democratic Party
$2,985 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability for the MN-06 House seat due to the district's R+10 partisan lean and incumbent Tom Emmer's strong track record, including 62.4% victory in 2024. Emmer faces a primary challenge from Michael Foley ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary, but ratings like Cook's Solid Republican underscore limited threat. Democrats have multiple candidates including Anson Amberson and Doug Chapin, yet lack polling traction or recruitment momentum. Recent independent entry by Kelly Doss in late March adds minor uncertainty, but fundamentals sustain GOP dominance barring surprises like a high-profile Democratic contender or primary upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$6,444Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability for the MN-06 House seat due to the district's R+10 partisan lean and incumbent Tom Emmer's strong track record, including 62.4% victory in 2024. Emmer faces a primary challenge from Michael Foley ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary, but ratings like Cook's Solid Republican underscore limited threat. Democrats have multiple candidates including Anson Amberson and Doug Chapin, yet lack polling traction or recruitment momentum. Recent independent entry by Kelly Doss in late March adds minor uncertainty, but fundamentals sustain GOP dominance barring surprises like a high-profile Democratic contender or primary upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,444Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability for the MN-06 House seat due to the district's R+10 partisan lean and incumbent Tom Emmer's strong track record, including 62.4% victory in 2024. Emmer faces a primary challenge from Michael Foley ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primary, but ratings like Cook's Solid Republican underscore limited threat. Democrats have multiple candidates including Anson Amberson and Doug Chapin, yet lack polling traction or recruitment momentum. Recent independent entry by Kelly Doss in late March adds minor uncertainty, but fundamentals sustain GOP dominance barring surprises like a high-profile Democratic contender or primary upset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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