Recent U.S. inflation data and tariff-related pressures are anchoring trader focus on the May 2026 CPI release, scheduled for June 10. April’s 3.8% year-over-year print, the highest since May 2023, reflected energy price surges above $100 per barrel for oil and elevated shelter and transportation costs, prompting markets to price in persistent upward momentum. With the leading outcomes clustered tightly around 4.2–4.4%, traders weigh the pace of tariff pass-through against potential moderation in core services ex-housing. Rising one-year inflation expectations to 3.6% and a still-resilient labor market add to the uncertainty, while any signs of cooling in goods prices or favorable seasonal adjustments could narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui4.3% 38%
≥4.4% 36%
4.2% 27%
4.1% 2.4%
$78,726 Vol.
$78,726 Vol.
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
2%
4.2%
27%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
36%
4.3% 38%
≥4.4% 36%
4.2% 27%
4.1% 2.4%
$78,726 Vol.
$78,726 Vol.
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
2%
4.2%
27%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
36%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. inflation data and tariff-related pressures are anchoring trader focus on the May 2026 CPI release, scheduled for June 10. April’s 3.8% year-over-year print, the highest since May 2023, reflected energy price surges above $100 per barrel for oil and elevated shelter and transportation costs, prompting markets to price in persistent upward momentum. With the leading outcomes clustered tightly around 4.2–4.4%, traders weigh the pace of tariff pass-through against potential moderation in core services ex-housing. Rising one-year inflation expectations to 3.6% and a still-resilient labor market add to the uncertainty, while any signs of cooling in goods prices or favorable seasonal adjustments could narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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