US and Israeli military strikes in June 2025 and February 2026 targeted Iran's enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, along with weaponization-related sites and personnel. US intelligence assessments from May 2026 indicate these operations have extended Iran's estimated breakout timeline to roughly nine to twelve months if Tehran decides to pursue a weapon, with no resumption of uranium enrichment reported since the attacks. Iran's enriched uranium stockpile remains inaccessible under rubble according to its foreign minister, while ongoing diplomatic efforts focus on verification and limits. These confirmed setbacks to infrastructure and expertise underpin trader consensus that acquisition before 2027 remains unlikely absent major reversal.