Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds the edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, a seat she won by more than 20 points in 2024 and that carries an R+6 partisan voting index. Trader pricing at 62.5% for Salazar versus 36.5% for Democrat Eliott Rodriguez reflects her substantial fundraising lead, established name recognition, and endorsements from law enforcement groups, the Everglades Trust, and Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado. The race has tightened since summer, with September polling showing Salazar ahead by just one point or tied among likely voters. Cook Political Report shifted its rating to Lean Republican after earlier internal surveys highlighted voter frustration with national immigration policies and lower Trump approval in the district. Salazar’s recent campaign ads emphasizing her breaks with some administration positions on enforcement have sought to blunt Democratic attacks, while Rodriguez, a former Miami television anchor, benefits from local familiarity and Democratic organizational support ahead of the November 3 general election.