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Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić 62%

Stefan Krkobabić 6.5%

Miloš Vučević 6.2%

Branimir Jovanović 5.8%

Polymarket

$32,263 Vol.

Aleksandar Vučić 62%

Stefan Krkobabić 6.5%

Miloš Vučević 6.2%

Branimir Jovanović 5.8%

Polymarket

$32,263 Vol.

icon for Aleksandar Vučić

Aleksandar Vučić

$16,404 Vol.

62%

icon for Stefan Krkobabić

Stefan Krkobabić

$896 Vol.

6%

icon for Miloš Vučević

Miloš Vučević

$2,895 Vol.

6%

icon for Branimir Jovanović

Branimir Jovanović

$857 Vol.

6%

icon for Dragan Đilas

Dragan Đilas

$839 Vol.

5%

icon for Ivica Dačić

Ivica Dačić

$750 Vol.

4%

icon for Ana Brnabić

Ana Brnabić

$8,919 Vol.

3%

icon for Đuro Macut

Đuro Macut

$703 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he will resign as president within weeks, triggering early parliamentary and presidential elections, has driven trader consensus toward him at 61% for the next prime minister role. His Serbian Progressive Party dominates parliament and has historically controlled government formation, positioning him to shift from the presidency to head of government if SNS secures a majority. Earlier changes, including Miloš Vučević’s January 2025 resignation amid protests and the April 2025 appointment of Đuro Macut as a technocratic placeholder, created an opening for a high-profile return. Lower probabilities for figures such as Stefan Krkobabić, Ana Brnabić, and Ivica Dačić reflect limited independent paths to the post without SNS backing or major electoral shifts before the vote window closes.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$32,263
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he will resign as president within weeks, triggering early parliamentary and presidential elections, has driven trader consensus toward him at 61% for the next prime minister role. His Serbian Progressive Party dominates parliament and has historically controlled government formation, positioning him to shift from the presidency to head of government if SNS secures a majority. Earlier changes, including Miloš Vučević’s January 2025 resignation amid protests and the April 2025 appointment of Đuro Macut as a technocratic placeholder, created an opening for a high-profile return. Lower probabilities for figures such as Stefan Krkobabić, Ana Brnabić, and Ivica Dačić reflect limited independent paths to the post without SNS backing or major electoral shifts before the vote window closes.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$32,263
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Aleksandar Vučić" di 62%, diikuti oleh "Stefan Krkobabić" di 6%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 62¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 62% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" telah menghasilkan $32.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" adalah "Aleksandar Vučić" di 62%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 62% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Stefan Krkobabić" di 6%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.