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Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01

icon for Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01
Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01

Jay Feely 66%

Joseph Chaplik 20.8%

Matt Gress 1.3%

Jason Duey 1.3%

Polymarket

$405,794 Vol.

Jay Feely 66%

Joseph Chaplik 20.8%

Matt Gress 1.3%

Jason Duey 1.3%

Polymarket

$405,794 Vol.

Jay Feely

$7,700 Vol.

66%

Joseph Chaplik

$9,362 Vol.

21%

Matt Gress

$48,804 Vol.

1%

Jason Duey

$3,092 Vol.

1%

Gina Swoboda

$4,909 Vol.

1%

John Trobough

$3,525 Vol.

1%

Derrick Gallego

$3,766 Vol.

<1%

Kaitlin Purrington

$10,042 Vol.

<1%

Todd Graham

$7,929 Vol.

<1%

Kari Lake

$7,193 Vol.

<1%

Mark Brnovich

$61,436 Vol.

<1%

Paul Reevs

$222,595 Vol.

<1%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$4,589 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Sowers

$10,853 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds a commanding position in the AZ-01 Republican primary trader consensus due to his strong name recognition as a former Arizona Cardinals kicker and CBS Sports analyst, along with leading fundraising that exceeded $1.7 million by late March 2026. The open seat created by incumbent David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid has allowed Feely to consolidate support after switching from the neighboring district, bolstered by public indications of alignment with former President Trump. State Representative Joseph Chaplik remains the primary challenger through his legislative record and local base, though trailing significantly. Lower-polling candidates such as John Trobough, Matt Gress, and Gina Swoboda—who has shifted focus to secretary of state—face barriers from limited visibility ahead of the July 21 primary. Upcoming candidate forums and further endorsements could still influence final positioning in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$405,794
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds a commanding position in the AZ-01 Republican primary trader consensus due to his strong name recognition as a former Arizona Cardinals kicker and CBS Sports analyst, along with leading fundraising that exceeded $1.7 million by late March 2026. The open seat created by incumbent David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid has allowed Feely to consolidate support after switching from the neighboring district, bolstered by public indications of alignment with former President Trump. State Representative Joseph Chaplik remains the primary challenger through his legislative record and local base, though trailing significantly. Lower-polling candidates such as John Trobough, Matt Gress, and Gina Swoboda—who has shifted focus to secretary of state—face barriers from limited visibility ahead of the July 21 primary. Upcoming candidate forums and further endorsements could still influence final positioning in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$405,794
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jay Feely" di 66%, diikuti oleh "Joseph Chaplik" di 21%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 66¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 66% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" telah menghasilkan $405.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" adalah "Jay Feely" di 66%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 66% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Joseph Chaplik" di 21%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.