Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Q1 2026 US GDP growth in a tight cluster below 2%, with 1.0–1.5% at 21.1% edging out 1.5–2.0% at 17.2%, anchored by the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model's persistent downward revisions to 1.3% as of April 9 amid softer personal consumption expenditures nowcast at 1.1%, a wider trade deficit dragging net exports, and weak residential investment despite equipment spending gains. Q4 2025 GDP was revised lower to 0.5%, amplifying slowdown fears, though New York Fed nowcast holds at 2.3%. Key swing factors include consumer resilience in services versus manufacturing weakness; next Atlanta Fed update April 21 post-retail sales precedes BEA advance estimate April 30, where inventory builds could differentiate outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ1 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
Q1 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
1.0–1.5% 21.1%
2.5–3.0% 14.8%
1.5–2.0% 13.6%
<1.0% 12.4%
$318,227 वॉल्यूम
$318,227 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.0%
12%
1.0–1.5%
21%
1.5–2.0%
17%
2.0–2.5%
13%
2.5–3.0%
15%
3.0–3.5%
7%
≥3.5%
5%
1.0–1.5% 21.1%
2.5–3.0% 14.8%
1.5–2.0% 13.6%
<1.0% 12.4%
$318,227 वॉल्यूम
$318,227 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.0%
$31,812 वॉल्यूम
12%
1.0–1.5%
$8,312 वॉल्यूम
21%
1.5–2.0%
$31,662 वॉल्यूम
17%
2.0–2.5%
$46,494 वॉल्यूम
13%
2.5–3.0%
$27,307 वॉल्यूम
15%
3.0–3.5%
$94,807 वॉल्यूम
7%
≥3.5%
$77,832 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Q1 2026 US GDP growth in a tight cluster below 2%, with 1.0–1.5% at 21.1% edging out 1.5–2.0% at 17.2%, anchored by the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model's persistent downward revisions to 1.3% as of April 9 amid softer personal consumption expenditures nowcast at 1.1%, a wider trade deficit dragging net exports, and weak residential investment despite equipment spending gains. Q4 2025 GDP was revised lower to 0.5%, amplifying slowdown fears, though New York Fed nowcast holds at 2.3%. Key swing factors include consumer resilience in services versus manufacturing weakness; next Atlanta Fed update April 21 post-retail sales precedes BEA advance estimate April 30, where inventory builds could differentiate outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$318,227समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Q1 2026 US GDP growth in a tight cluster below 2%, with 1.0–1.5% at 21.1% edging out 1.5–2.0% at 17.2%, anchored by the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model's persistent downward revisions to 1.3% as of April 9 amid softer personal consumption expenditures nowcast at 1.1%, a wider trade deficit dragging net exports, and weak residential investment despite equipment spending gains. Q4 2025 GDP was revised lower to 0.5%, amplifying slowdown fears, though New York Fed nowcast holds at 2.3%. Key swing factors include consumer resilience in services versus manufacturing weakness; next Atlanta Fed update April 21 post-retail sales precedes BEA advance estimate April 30, where inventory builds could differentiate outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
वॉल्यूम
$318,227समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Q1 2026 US GDP growth in a tight cluster below 2%, with 1.0–1.5% at 21.1% edging out 1.5–2.0% at 17.2%, anchored by the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model's persistent downward revisions to 1.3% as of April 9 amid softer personal consumption expenditures nowcast at 1.1%, a wider trade deficit dragging net exports, and weak residential investment despite equipment spending gains. Q4 2025 GDP was revised lower to 0.5%, amplifying slowdown fears, though New York Fed nowcast holds at 2.3%. Key swing factors include consumer resilience in services versus manufacturing weakness; next Atlanta Fed update April 21 post-retail sales precedes BEA advance estimate April 30, where inventory builds could differentiate outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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