Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for "No," driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 Labour Force Survey showing the unemployment rate steady at 6.7%—well below the 7.1% peak in August-September 2025, the highest monthly reading since 2016 outside the pandemic era. Early 2026 weakness, including February's 84,000 job losses and rate rise from January's 6.5%, has stabilized with March's modest 14,000 job gains amid subdued hiring. Forecasts from Deloitte and others project gradual decline to around 6.3% by year-end, supported by cooling inflation and Bank of Canada policy easing. Key catalysts include April data (due early May) and Q2 GDP releases, with no signals of recessionary surge needed to breach prior highs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
15 फ़र, 2027
नया
नया
15 फ़र, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for "No," driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 Labour Force Survey showing the unemployment rate steady at 6.7%—well below the 7.1% peak in August-September 2025, the highest monthly reading since 2016 outside the pandemic era. Early 2026 weakness, including February's 84,000 job losses and rate rise from January's 6.5%, has stabilized with March's modest 14,000 job gains amid subdued hiring. Forecasts from Deloitte and others project gradual decline to around 6.3% by year-end, supported by cooling inflation and Bank of Canada policy easing. Key catalysts include April data (due early May) and Q2 GDP releases, with no signals of recessionary surge needed to breach prior highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,862समाप्ति तिथि
15 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for "No," driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 Labour Force Survey showing the unemployment rate steady at 6.7%—well below the 7.1% peak in August-September 2025, the highest monthly reading since 2016 outside the pandemic era. Early 2026 weakness, including February's 84,000 job losses and rate rise from January's 6.5%, has stabilized with March's modest 14,000 job gains amid subdued hiring. Forecasts from Deloitte and others project gradual decline to around 6.3% by year-end, supported by cooling inflation and Bank of Canada policy easing. Key catalysts include April data (due early May) and Q2 GDP releases, with no signals of recessionary surge needed to breach prior highs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
वॉल्यूम
$5,862समाप्ति तिथि
15 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for "No," driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 Labour Force Survey showing the unemployment rate steady at 6.7%—well below the 7.1% peak in August-September 2025, the highest monthly reading since 2016 outside the pandemic era. Early 2026 weakness, including February's 84,000 job losses and rate rise from January's 6.5%, has stabilized with March's modest 14,000 job gains amid subdued hiring. Forecasts from Deloitte and others project gradual decline to around 6.3% by year-end, supported by cooling inflation and Bank of Canada policy easing. Key catalysts include April data (due early May) and Q2 GDP releases, with no signals of recessionary surge needed to breach prior highs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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