Name: La chanson la plus écoutée sur Spotify à Noël sera-t-elle « All I Want For Christmas Is You » ?
Start: 2025-12-05T23:56:39.670894Z
End: 2025-12-25T00:00:00Z

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Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it by 6PM to reflect streaming data for the previous day, beginning at 12AM UTC and ending 11:59PM the preceding day.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mariah Carey's 'All I Want For Christmas Is You' is the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the day labeled December 25.

If Spotify does not release its top song for December 25 by December 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The daily top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

La chanson la plus écoutée sur Spotify à Noël sera-t-elle « All I Want For Christmas Is You » ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for for Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve "No".   

If no sale is competed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (See:https://goldin.co/item/logan-paul-personally-owned-1998-pokemon-japanese-corocoro-promo-raretua0w).

Le prix de vente du Pokémon Illustrator PSA 10 de Logan Paul dépassera-t-il 4 millions de dollars ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If no sale is completed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-edition-rare-holofoil-logan-paul-break-4-chajdvc5).

Le prix de vente du Dracaufeu 1ère Édition de Logan Paul dépassera-t-il 500 000 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Shields Family Collection Honus Wagner card is greater than $4 million. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If no sale is completed by March 31, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1909-11-t206-white-border-honus-wagner-sweet-caporal-150-25-shields-fadn3v4).

Vente de la carte Honus Wagner >4 millions de dollars ?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the Milady floor price reaches 2ETH or higher at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "Milady price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/milady, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart.

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the CryptoPunks floor price dips to 20 ETH or lower at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "CryptoPunks price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/cryptopunks, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart.

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Le prix plancher des CryptoPunks tombera-t-il à 20 ETH avant 2027 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Claude 5 sera-t-il publié d'ici le 31 mars 2026 ?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the Pudgy Penguins floor price dips to 2 ETH or lower at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "PudgyPenguins price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/pudgy-penguins, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Bitcoin hits an all-time high
- Ethereum hits an all-time high
- Solana hits an all-time high
- US national Bitcoin reserve

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Crypto.pdf

Il ne se passe jamais rien : Édition Crypto

Hong Kong Businessman Jimmy Lai is in custody after being convicted of conspiracy to collude with foreign forces. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/jimmy-lai-verdict-live-hong-kong-court-rule-after-democracy-activists-landmark-2025-12-14/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Jimmy Lai libéré d'ici le 31 janvier ?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Lens terminera-t-il dans le top 4 du classement de la Ligue 1 2025–26 ?

is market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Pinterest will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Pinterest will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Pinterest or OpenAi, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

OpenAI va-t-il acquérir Pinterest en 2026 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Introduction en bourse de SpaceX avec une capitalisation boursière supérieure à 1 000 milliards de dollars ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


La chanson la plus écoutée sur Spotify à Noël sera-t-elle « All I Want For Christmas Is You » ?

Contexte du Marché

La chanson la plus écoutée sur Spotify à Noël sera-t-elle « All I Want For Christmas Is You » ?

Règles

La chanson la plus écoutée sur Spotify à Noël sera-t-elle « All I Want For Christmas Is You » ?

Contexte du Marché

La chanson la plus écoutée sur Spotify à Noël sera-t-elle « All I Want For Christmas Is You » ?

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