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Eurovision 2026 : Deuxième demi-finale

Market icon

Eurovision 2026 : Deuxième demi-finale

$84,603 Vol.

14 mai 2026
Polymarket

$84,603 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Danemark

$324 Vol.

95%

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Australie

$11,145 Vol.

91%

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Ukraine

$1,004 Vol.

90%

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Bulgarie

$4,980 Vol.

82%

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Norvège

$3,387 Vol.

81%

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Chypre

$7,010 Vol.

79%

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Malte

$467 Vol.

77%

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Roumanie

$5,147 Vol.

72%

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Albanie

$3,173 Vol.

68%

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Tchéquie

$24,980 Vol.

63%

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Lettonie

$538 Vol.

61%

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Luxembourg

$4,342 Vol.

38%

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Suisse

$6,214 Vol.

38%

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Arménie

$10,131 Vol.

34%

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Azerbaïdjan

$1,761 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna's hosting of Eurovision 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle has locked in the Second Semi-Final for May 14, featuring 15 countries battling for the top 10 qualifying spots to the Grand Final on May 16. The biggest recent catalyst—running orders revealed just yesterday—has sparked trader buzz, as early slots like Azerbaijan's second position or closing acts can sway televoting and jury impressions amid staging rehearsals kicking off soon. With all national selections complete since early 2026, market-implied odds hinge on song quality, fan mobilization, and historical semi-final trends, like strong diaspora support for Armenia or Switzerland. Watch First Semi-Final results on May 12 for cross-voting signals, as Big 5 nations including France vote here, amplifying unpredictability in this high-stakes qualifier.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$84,603
Date de fin
14 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna's hosting of Eurovision 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle has locked in the Second Semi-Final for May 14, featuring 15 countries battling for the top 10 qualifying spots to the Grand Final on May 16. The biggest recent catalyst—running orders revealed just yesterday—has sparked trader buzz, as early slots like Azerbaijan's second position or closing acts can sway televoting and jury impressions amid staging rehearsals kicking off soon. With all national selections complete since early 2026, market-implied odds hinge on song quality, fan mobilization, and historical semi-final trends, like strong diaspora support for Armenia or Switzerland. Watch First Semi-Final results on May 12 for cross-voting signals, as Big 5 nations including France vote here, amplifying unpredictability in this high-stakes qualifier.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$84,603
Date de fin
14 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Eurovision 2026 : Deuxième demi-finale » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Danemark » à 95%, suivi de « Australie » à 91%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Eurovision 2026 : Deuxième demi-finale » a généré $84.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Eurovision 2026 : Deuxième demi-finale », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Eurovision 2026 : Deuxième demi-finale » est « Danemark » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Australie » à 91%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Eurovision 2026 : Deuxième demi-finale » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.