FIFA's October 2024 approval of Mexico's three 2026 World Cup venues—Estadio Azteca (opening match site on June 11), Akron, and Jalisco—following rigorous inspections has driven trader consensus to a 95.2% implied probability on "No" relocation, reflecting cleared concerns over pitch quality and logistics. No security incidents, protests, or FIFA communications in the past 30 days have challenged host nation status, with the joint USA-Canada-Mexico bid intact amid smooth preparations. This skin-in-the-game pricing underscores low disruption risk, though extreme scenarios like major cartel violence, earthquakes, or sudden regulatory bans could prompt venue shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$113,129 Vol.
$113,129 Vol.
Oui
$113,129 Vol.
$113,129 Vol.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...FIFA's October 2024 approval of Mexico's three 2026 World Cup venues—Estadio Azteca (opening match site on June 11), Akron, and Jalisco—following rigorous inspections has driven trader consensus to a 95.2% implied probability on "No" relocation, reflecting cleared concerns over pitch quality and logistics. No security incidents, protests, or FIFA communications in the past 30 days have challenged host nation status, with the joint USA-Canada-Mexico bid intact amid smooth preparations. This skin-in-the-game pricing underscores low disruption risk, though extreme scenarios like major cartel violence, earthquakes, or sudden regulatory bans could prompt venue shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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