Former UFC bantamweight champion Merab Dvalishvili's insistence on a trilogy fight with Petr Yan, now the division titleholder after their split results—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's UFC 323 victory in December 2025—has propelled Yan to 69% trader consensus as his likely next opponent. Dvalishvili confirmed in early March he's holding out specifically for the matchup, bypassing interim bouts amid the 1-1 series rivalry. Umar Nurmagomedov trails at 33.9% as the unbeaten top contender pushing for a shot, while superfight options like Alexander Volkanovski (24.4%) and recent title challenger Sean O'Malley (21.9%) reflect alternative paths. A fresh broken nose injury announced April 2 clouds Dvalishvili's timeline, including a potential wrestling bout, but hasn't shifted sentiment toward the high-stakes Yan rematch.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPetr Yan 85%
Umar Nurmagomedov 30.9%
Alexander Volkanovski 24.1%
Song Yadong 23.0%
$11,265 Vol.
$11,265 Vol.
Petr Yan
69%
Umar Nurmagomedov
31%
Alexander Volkanovski
24%
Song Yadong
23%
Alexandre Pantoja
3%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Rob Font
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Sean O'Malley
23%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Petr Yan 85%
Umar Nurmagomedov 30.9%
Alexander Volkanovski 24.1%
Song Yadong 23.0%
$11,265 Vol.
$11,265 Vol.
Petr Yan
69%
Umar Nurmagomedov
31%
Alexander Volkanovski
24%
Song Yadong
23%
Alexandre Pantoja
3%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Rob Font
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Sean O'Malley
23%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former UFC bantamweight champion Merab Dvalishvili's insistence on a trilogy fight with Petr Yan, now the division titleholder after their split results—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's UFC 323 victory in December 2025—has propelled Yan to 69% trader consensus as his likely next opponent. Dvalishvili confirmed in early March he's holding out specifically for the matchup, bypassing interim bouts amid the 1-1 series rivalry. Umar Nurmagomedov trails at 33.9% as the unbeaten top contender pushing for a shot, while superfight options like Alexander Volkanovski (24.4%) and recent title challenger Sean O'Malley (21.9%) reflect alternative paths. A fresh broken nose injury announced April 2 clouds Dvalishvili's timeline, including a potential wrestling bout, but hasn't shifted sentiment toward the high-stakes Yan rematch.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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