Europe's unparalleled depth of elite talent and historical World Cup dominance—12 titles versus South America's 10—anchors its 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by recent successes like Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and France's consistent contention. South America holds steady at 22.5% on Argentina's Copa América repeat and Brazil's pedigree, despite uneven CONMEBOL qualifiers where Brazil sits mid-table. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's 2022 semifinal breakthrough and expanded slots, but lacks a winner; North America's 2.7% nods to host auto-qualifiers USA, Canada, and Mexico amid MLS growth, yet trails in pedigree. Asia and Oceania trail with slim historical precedents amid ongoing AFC/CAF qualifiers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuel continent remportera la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 ?
Quel continent remportera la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 ?
Europe 71%
Amérique du Sud 23%
Afrique 4.0%
Amérique du Nord 2.7%
$1,274,722 Vol.
$1,274,722 Vol.
Europe
71%
Amérique du Sud
23%
Afrique
4%
Amérique du Nord
3%
Asie
2%
Océanie
1%
Europe 71%
Amérique du Sud 23%
Afrique 4.0%
Amérique du Nord 2.7%
$1,274,722 Vol.
$1,274,722 Vol.
Europe
71%
Amérique du Sud
23%
Afrique
4%
Amérique du Nord
3%
Asie
2%
Océanie
1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's unparalleled depth of elite talent and historical World Cup dominance—12 titles versus South America's 10—anchors its 70.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by recent successes like Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and France's consistent contention. South America holds steady at 22.5% on Argentina's Copa América repeat and Brazil's pedigree, despite uneven CONMEBOL qualifiers where Brazil sits mid-table. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's 2022 semifinal breakthrough and expanded slots, but lacks a winner; North America's 2.7% nods to host auto-qualifiers USA, Canada, and Mexico amid MLS growth, yet trails in pedigree. Asia and Oceania trail with slim historical precedents amid ongoing AFC/CAF qualifiers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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