Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth in FIFA rankings—eight of the top 10 nations—and Spain's Euro 2024 victory showcasing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal alongside veterans like Rodri. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL powerhouses Argentina (defending champs after Copa America 2024 win) and Brazil, though Messi's advancing age and Brazil's recent qualifying stumbles temper expectations. Africa's 4% acknowledges Morocco's 2022 semifinal run and rising CAF sides like Senegal, but lacks historical precedent. North America's 2.5% nods to hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico amid CONCACAF Gold Cup momentum, while Asia and Oceania trail due to shallower talent pools despite Japan's AFC Asian Cup form. Qualifying rounds intensify with UEFA starting March 2025.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuel continent remportera la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 ?
Quel continent remportera la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 ?
Europe 70%
Amérique du Sud 22%
Afrique 4.0%
Amérique du Nord 2.6%
$1,303,089 Vol.
$1,303,089 Vol.
Europe
70%
Amérique du Sud
22%
Afrique
4%
Amérique du Nord
3%
Asie
2%
Océanie
<1%
Europe 70%
Amérique du Sud 22%
Afrique 4.0%
Amérique du Nord 2.6%
$1,303,089 Vol.
$1,303,089 Vol.
Europe
70%
Amérique du Sud
22%
Afrique
4%
Amérique du Nord
3%
Asie
2%
Océanie
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth in FIFA rankings—eight of the top 10 nations—and Spain's Euro 2024 victory showcasing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal alongside veterans like Rodri. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL powerhouses Argentina (defending champs after Copa America 2024 win) and Brazil, though Messi's advancing age and Brazil's recent qualifying stumbles temper expectations. Africa's 4% acknowledges Morocco's 2022 semifinal run and rising CAF sides like Senegal, but lacks historical precedent. North America's 2.5% nods to hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico amid CONCACAF Gold Cup momentum, while Asia and Oceania trail due to shallower talent pools despite Japan's AFC Asian Cup form. Qualifying rounds intensify with UEFA starting March 2025.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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