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Économie·Masquer Du Nouveau·

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Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

Market icon
Économie·Masquer Du Nouveau·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

433 - 435k 18%

<429k 17%

429 - 431k 17%

431 - 433k 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

433 - 435k 18%

<429k 17%

429 - 431k 17%

431 - 433k 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<429k

$730 Vol.

21%

429 - 431k

$0 Vol.

17%

431 - 433k

$36 Vol.

16%

433 - 435k

$106 Vol.

21%

435 - 437k

$0 Vol.

11%

437 - 439k

$0 Vol.

8%

439 - 441k

$0 Vol.

6%

>441k

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24) Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among $429k–$435k brackets for the Parcl Labs U.S. Sales Price Index-derived median home value on April 30, with 25% implied probability for $433k–$435k, reflecting modest appreciation from Redfin's February 2026 median sale price of $429,156 (up 0.9% YoY). This positioning stems from February's 0.4% YoY inventory rise to 1.73 million homes supporting buyer leverage, offset by a 3.4% sales drop and 30-year mortgage rates spiking to 6.53% last week, curbing demand. Key swing factors include March existing-home sales data (due mid-April), new listings surge in spring selling season, and Fed signals on inflation and labor markets that could sway rate expectations before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volume
$872
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24) Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among $429k–$435k brackets for the Parcl Labs U.S. Sales Price Index-derived median home value on April 30, with 25% implied probability for $433k–$435k, reflecting modest appreciation from Redfin's February 2026 median sale price of $429,156 (up 0.9% YoY). This positioning stems from February's 0.4% YoY inventory rise to 1.73 million homes supporting buyer leverage, offset by a 3.4% sales drop and 30-year mortgage rates spiking to 6.53% last week, curbing demand. Key swing factors include March existing-home sales data (due mid-April), new listings surge in spring selling season, and Fed signals on inflation and labor markets that could sway rate expectations before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volume
$872
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

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Questions fréquentes

« What will the median home value in the US be on April 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <429k » à 21%, suivi de « 433 - 435k » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 21¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 21% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« What will the median home value in the US be on April 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « What will the median home value in the US be on April 30? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « What will the median home value in the US be on April 30? » est « <429k » à 21%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 21% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 433 - 435k » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « What will the median home value in the US be on April 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.