Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a DC Metro median home value of $536k-$542k (50.5% implied probability) for April 1, propelled by chronic low inventory—hovering at 1.8 months' supply per latest Redfin data—and resilient demand from federal employees amid stable job growth. Zillow's February Home Value Index clocked in at $534k, up 1.5% year-over-year, with March pending sales rising 3% despite 6.8% 30-year mortgage rates capping affordability. Fed rate cut expectations into spring buying season support modest appreciation, sidelining steeper upside (>554k at 6.6%) while 530-536k (25.5%) reflects potential softening if rates linger high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 1er avril ?
Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 1er avril ?
536 - 542k 43%
542 - 548k 20.9%
530 - 536k 13%
>554k 5.0%
<518k
2%
518 - 524k
1%
524 - 530k
4%
530 - 536k
26%
536 - 542k
51%
542 - 548k
21%
548 - 554k
2%
>554k
7%
536 - 542k 43%
542 - 548k 20.9%
530 - 536k 13%
>554k 5.0%
<518k
2%
518 - 524k
1%
524 - 530k
4%
530 - 536k
26%
536 - 542k
51%
542 - 548k
21%
548 - 554k
2%
>554k
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a DC Metro median home value of $536k-$542k (50.5% implied probability) for April 1, propelled by chronic low inventory—hovering at 1.8 months' supply per latest Redfin data—and resilient demand from federal employees amid stable job growth. Zillow's February Home Value Index clocked in at $534k, up 1.5% year-over-year, with March pending sales rising 3% despite 6.8% 30-year mortgage rates capping affordability. Fed rate cut expectations into spring buying season support modest appreciation, sidelining steeper upside (>554k at 6.6%) while 530-536k (25.5%) reflects potential softening if rates linger high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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