Market icon

US military intervention by Oct 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$340,982 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense.

The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.
Volume
$340,982
Date de fin
Oct 31, 2023
Créé le
Oct 10, 2023, 4:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense. The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Contesté

Résultat proposé: No

Contesté

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US military intervention by Oct 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US military intervention by Oct 31?" has generated $341K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 10, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US military intervention by Oct 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US military intervention by Oct 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US military intervention by Oct 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

US military intervention by Oct 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$340,982 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense.

The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.
Volume
$340,982
Date de fin
Oct 31, 2023
Créé le
Oct 10, 2023, 4:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense. The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Contesté

Résultat proposé: No

Contesté

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US military intervention by Oct 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US military intervention by Oct 31?" has generated $341K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 10, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US military intervention by Oct 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US military intervention by Oct 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US military intervention by Oct 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.