Market icon

Taux d'approbation de Trump au 31 décembre ?

Market icon

Taux d'approbation de Trump au 31 décembre ?

42.0–43.9% 100.0%

<40,0 % <1%

40,0–41,9 % <1%

44,0–45,9 % <1%

Polymarket

$512,673 Vol.

42.0–43.9% 100.0%

<40,0 % <1%

40,0–41,9 % <1%

44,0–45,9 % <1%

Polymarket

$512,673 Vol.

<40,0 %

$87,652 Vol.

Non

40,0–41,9 %

$103,888 Vol.

Non

42.0–43.9%

$64,911 Vol.

Oui

44,0–45,9 %

$68,185 Vol.

Non

46,0 % à 47,9 %

$68,007 Vol.

Non

48.0–49.9%

$59,998 Vol.

Non

≥50,0 %

$60,032 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 31, 2025.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$512,673
Date de fin
Jan 1, 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2025, 8:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 31, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taux d'approbation de Trump au 31 décembre ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "42.0–43.9%" at 100%, followed by "<40,0 %" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Taux d'approbation de Trump au 31 décembre ?" has generated $512.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Taux d'approbation de Trump au 31 décembre ?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taux d'approbation de Trump au 31 décembre ?" is "42.0–43.9%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<40,0 %" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taux d'approbation de Trump au 31 décembre ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.