Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices President Trump's job approval rating in the 39.0–39.4% range at 99.5% as of April 3, reflecting the latest polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, which updated that day to show a first-ever second-term dip below 40% with a net approval of -16.9 points. This positioning follows fresh CNN/SSRS data revealing a career-low 31% approval on economy handling amid the escalating Iran war, surging gas prices, and 72% disapproval on inflation—driving steady erosion from January's higher marks. With probabilities above 90%, realistic challenges would require rare post-release revisions to aggregator methodologies or erroneous data corrections from primary pollsters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.0–39.4 99.5%
39.5–39.9 <1%
<39.0 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$203,598 Vol.
$203,598 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
<39.0
<1%
39.0–39.4
100%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0–40.4
<1%
40.5–40.9
<1%
41.0+
<1%
39.0–39.4 99.5%
39.5–39.9 <1%
<39.0 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$203,598 Vol.
$203,598 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
<39.0
$22,247 Vol.
<1%
39.0–39.4
$25,878 Vol.
100%
39.5–39.9
$70,178 Vol.
<1%
40.0–40.4
$62,979 Vol.
<1%
40.5–40.9
$12,887 Vol.
<1%
41.0+
$9,430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices President Trump's job approval rating in the 39.0–39.4% range at 99.5% as of April 3, reflecting the latest polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, which updated that day to show a first-ever second-term dip below 40% with a net approval of -16.9 points. This positioning follows fresh CNN/SSRS data revealing a career-low 31% approval on economy handling amid the escalating Iran war, surging gas prices, and 72% disapproval on inflation—driving steady erosion from January's higher marks. With probabilities above 90%, realistic challenges would require rare post-release revisions to aggregator methodologies or erroneous data corrections from primary pollsters.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$203,598Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices President Trump's job approval rating in the 39.0–39.4% range at 99.5% as of April 3, reflecting the latest polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, which updated that day to show a first-ever second-term dip below 40% with a net approval of -16.9 points. This positioning follows fresh CNN/SSRS data revealing a career-low 31% approval on economy handling amid the escalating Iran war, surging gas prices, and 72% disapproval on inflation—driving steady erosion from January's higher marks. With probabilities above 90%, realistic challenges would require rare post-release revisions to aggregator methodologies or erroneous data corrections from primary pollsters.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$203,598Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices President Trump's job approval rating in the 39.0–39.4% range at 99.5% as of April 3, reflecting the latest polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, which updated that day to show a first-ever second-term dip below 40% with a net approval of -16.9 points. This positioning follows fresh CNN/SSRS data revealing a career-low 31% approval on economy handling amid the escalating Iran war, surging gas prices, and 72% disapproval on inflation—driving steady erosion from January's higher marks. With probabilities above 90%, realistic challenges would require rare post-release revisions to aggregator methodologies or erroneous data corrections from primary pollsters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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