Rep. Kevin Hern commands 90.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary for the seat vacated by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's nomination as DHS secretary, driven by his March 11 campaign launch as the first major entrant, followed by President Trump's endorsement on March 13 to clear the field, and subsequent backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott on March 19. Rep. Stephanie Bice opted against a bid, further consolidating support behind Hern amid a thin field including Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell and others. With candidate filing in April and the June 16 primary looming, a high-profile late challenger, scandal, or fundraising surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns favor early Trump-endorsed frontrunners in Oklahoma GOP primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de la primaire du Sénat républicain de l'Oklahoma
Vainqueur de la primaire du Sénat républicain de l'Oklahoma
Kevin Hern 91%
Matt Pinnell 3.0%
Wayne Lonny Washington 2.9%
Nick Hankins 2.5%
$50,666 Vol.
$50,666 Vol.
Kevin Hern
91%
Matt Pinnell
3%
Wayne Lonny Washington
3%
Nick Hankins
3%
John M. O’Connor
2%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
Kevin Hern 91%
Matt Pinnell 3.0%
Wayne Lonny Washington 2.9%
Nick Hankins 2.5%
$50,666 Vol.
$50,666 Vol.
Kevin Hern
91%
Matt Pinnell
3%
Wayne Lonny Washington
3%
Nick Hankins
3%
John M. O’Connor
2%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern commands 90.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary for the seat vacated by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's nomination as DHS secretary, driven by his March 11 campaign launch as the first major entrant, followed by President Trump's endorsement on March 13 to clear the field, and subsequent backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott on March 19. Rep. Stephanie Bice opted against a bid, further consolidating support behind Hern amid a thin field including Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell and others. With candidate filing in April and the June 16 primary looming, a high-profile late challenger, scandal, or fundraising surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns favor early Trump-endorsed frontrunners in Oklahoma GOP primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes