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Nombre de sièges à l'ARC après les élections anticipées japonaises de 2026 ?

Market icon

Nombre de sièges à l'ARC après les élections anticipées japonaises de 2026 ?

<150 100.0%

150–159 <1%

160–169 <1%

170–179 <1%

Polymarket

$35,786 Vol.

<150 100.0%

150–159 <1%

160–169 <1%

170–179 <1%

Polymarket

$35,786 Vol.

<150

$11,547 Vol.

Oui

150–159

$4,614 Vol.

Non

160–169

$4,539 Vol.

Non

170–179

$5,031 Vol.

Non

180–189

$5,093 Vol.

Non

190+

$4,962 Vol.

Non

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA) in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Volume
$35,786
Date de fin
Feb 8, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 23, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA) in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nombre de sièges à l'ARC après les élections anticipées japonaises de 2026 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<150" at 100%, followed by "150–159" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nombre de sièges à l'ARC après les élections anticipées japonaises de 2026 ?" has generated $35.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nombre de sièges à l'ARC après les élections anticipées japonaises de 2026 ?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nombre de sièges à l'ARC après les élections anticipées japonaises de 2026 ?" is "<150" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "150–159" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nombre de sièges à l'ARC après les élections anticipées japonaises de 2026 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.