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October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC 100.0%

<1.10ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

1.15–1.19ºC <1%

Polymarket

$321,586 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$321,586
Date de fin
Nov 11, 2025
Créé le
Oct 10, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC 100.0%

<1.10ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

1.15–1.19ºC <1%

Polymarket

$321,586 Vol.

<1.10ºC

$43,029 Vol.

No

1.10–1.14ºC

$72,542 Vol.

No

1.15–1.19ºC

$69,690 Vol.

No

1.20–1.24ºC

$42,489 Vol.

Yes

1.25–1.29ºC

$50,015 Vol.

No

>1.29ºC

$43,820 Vol.

No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.