Market icon

Février 2026 Augmentation de la température (ºC)

>1,24ºC 55%

1,20–1,24ºC 24%

1,15–1,19ºC 10%

1,05–1,09 ºC 4.1%

Polymarket

$118,839 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$118,839
Date de fin
Mar 10, 2026
Créé le
Feb 2, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

Février 2026 Augmentation de la température (ºC)

>1,24ºC 55%

1,20–1,24ºC 24%

1,15–1,19ºC 10%

1,05–1,09 ºC 4.1%

Polymarket

$118,839 Vol.

<1,05ºC

$9,504 Vol.

2%

1,05–1,09 ºC

$5,324 Vol.

4%

1,10–1,14ºC

$8,634 Vol.

3%

1,15–1,19ºC

$29,665 Vol.

10%

1,20–1,24ºC

$22,525 Vol.

24%

>1,24ºC

$43,187 Vol.

55%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.