Petar Musa's explosive early 2026 form, including a second MLS hat-trick in a 3-3 draw versus San Diego FC and five goals across four matches, has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 39.9% implied probability for the MLS Golden Boot, building on his record-tying 19 goals from 2025 that rank him fourth in league scoring since arriving at FC Dallas. Sam Surridge trails closely at 22.6% after leading MLS with seven goals in four games, highlighted by a hat-trick in Nashville SC's 4-0 rout of Orlando City and earning Player of the Month honors for February/March. Lionel Messi's 21.0% share reflects four goals for Inter Miami, including milestone strikes, though his pace lags the frontrunners amid a congested schedule. With only 4-5 games played, sustained health and team attacking output will shape the long regular season race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLionel Messi 41%
Sam Surridge 14.2%
Dejan Joveljić 4.2%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%
Lionel Messi
21%
Sam Surridge
23%
Dejan Joveljić
4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
4%
Evander
4%
Tadeo Allende
3%
Germán Berterame
2%
Brian White
2%
Hugo Cuypers
1%
Denis Bouanga
1%
Alonso Martínez
1%
Anders Dreyer
1%
Tai Baribo
1%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Danny Musovski
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Milan Iloski
<1%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
Kévin Denkey
<1%
Martín Ojeda
<1%
Petar Musa
40%
Lionel Messi 41%
Sam Surridge 14.2%
Dejan Joveljić 4.2%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%
Lionel Messi
21%
Sam Surridge
23%
Dejan Joveljić
4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
4%
Evander
4%
Tadeo Allende
3%
Germán Berterame
2%
Brian White
2%
Hugo Cuypers
1%
Denis Bouanga
1%
Alonso Martínez
1%
Anders Dreyer
1%
Tai Baribo
1%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Danny Musovski
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Milan Iloski
<1%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
Kévin Denkey
<1%
Martín Ojeda
<1%
Petar Musa
40%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petar Musa's explosive early 2026 form, including a second MLS hat-trick in a 3-3 draw versus San Diego FC and five goals across four matches, has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 39.9% implied probability for the MLS Golden Boot, building on his record-tying 19 goals from 2025 that rank him fourth in league scoring since arriving at FC Dallas. Sam Surridge trails closely at 22.6% after leading MLS with seven goals in four games, highlighted by a hat-trick in Nashville SC's 4-0 rout of Orlando City and earning Player of the Month honors for February/March. Lionel Messi's 21.0% share reflects four goals for Inter Miami, including milestone strikes, though his pace lags the frontrunners amid a congested schedule. With only 4-5 games played, sustained health and team attacking output will shape the long regular season race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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