Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 97.7% stems primarily from the absence of any identified suspect or arrests more than two weeks after the October 27 incident, where over 20 rounds targeted a Border Patrol SUV carrying agents in Inver Grove Heights near Minneapolis. The FBI's ongoing investigation has yielded no public leads, with agents returning fire at a fleeing vehicle but no injuries or immediate breakthroughs reported. This stalled progress in a drive-by style attack fuels high confidence that federal charges against a shooter will not materialize soon, though realistic shifts could arise from emerging surveillance footage, witness tips, or forensic matches prompting rapid apprehension and indictment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe tireur de la patrouille frontalière de Minneapolis accusé ?
Le tireur de la patrouille frontalière de Minneapolis accusé ?
Oui
$705,692 Vol.
$705,692 Vol.
Oui
$705,692 Vol.
$705,692 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 24, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the federal immigration agent who fired the shots in the January 24, 2026 Minneapolis shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active federal immigration agent at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 97.7% stems primarily from the absence of any identified suspect or arrests more than two weeks after the October 27 incident, where over 20 rounds targeted a Border Patrol SUV carrying agents in Inver Grove Heights near Minneapolis. The FBI's ongoing investigation has yielded no public leads, with agents returning fire at a fleeing vehicle but no injuries or immediate breakthroughs reported. This stalled progress in a drive-by style attack fuels high confidence that federal charges against a shooter will not materialize soon, though realistic shifts could arise from emerging surveillance footage, witness tips, or forensic matches prompting rapid apprehension and indictment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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