Traders express near-certain consensus at 99.5% on "No" for the ICE Shooter—likely referring to a key Immigration and Customs Enforcement leadership figure—being fired or resigning by March 31, reflecting the absence of any recent official announcements, scandals, or performance controversies driving such an outcome. No verifiable reports from the past 30 days indicate internal agency pressures, White House directives, or personal statements signaling departure, with the position appearing stable amid early Trump administration transitions. Historical patterns show executive agency heads rarely face abrupt removal without major catalysts like congressional scrutiny or legal challenges. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking news such as a DOJ investigation, public backlash over enforcement actions, or sudden health issues, though these remain improbable given the quiet timeline approaching resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$310,742 Vol.
$310,742 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Oui
$310,742 Vol.
$310,742 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
Volume
$310,742Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$310,742Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders express near-certain consensus at 99.5% on "No" for the ICE Shooter—likely referring to a key Immigration and Customs Enforcement leadership figure—being fired or resigning by March 31, reflecting the absence of any recent official announcements, scandals, or performance controversies driving such an outcome. No verifiable reports from the past 30 days indicate internal agency pressures, White House directives, or personal statements signaling departure, with the position appearing stable amid early Trump administration transitions. Historical patterns show executive agency heads rarely face abrupt removal without major catalysts like congressional scrutiny or legal challenges. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking news such as a DOJ investigation, public backlash over enforcement actions, or sudden health issues, though these remain improbable given the quiet timeline approaching resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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